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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Southern Mississippi

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:31.0
Current RPI:31
Expected SOS:74
Current Record:23-9
Expected Record:23-9
Current Conf Record:14-5
Expected Conf Record:14-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:11-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-1
Current OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC RPI:31
Expected OOC SOS:77


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
23-971.88%31.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Mississippi.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-10Western Kentucky (150.0)SBH67-64W100%0.0
11-15Georgia (140.0)SECA60-62W100%0.0
11-19Sam Houston St. (224.0)SlndA49-61W100%0.0
11-20UC Irvine (125.0)BWN69-65W100%0.0
11-21Liberty (288.0)BSthN56-74W100%0.0
11-27Denver (64.0)WACH61-50W100%0.0
12-1New Mexico St. (55.0)WACA68-60L0%0.0
12-4Arizona (16.0)P12A63-55L0%0.0
12-8Louisiana Tech (53.0)WACA65-55L0%0.0
12-15Grambling (347.0)SWACH93-45W100%0.0
12-18Georgia St. (209.0)CAAA67-69W100%0.0
12-22Wichita St. (37.0)MVCA59-51L0%0.0
12-28Morehead St. (172.0)OVCA58-94W100%0.0
1-9Rice (324.0)CUSAA52-75W100%0.0
1-12Houston (197.0)CUSAH73-54W100%0.0
1-16Southern Methodist (219.0)CUSAA70-74W100%0.0
1-19UAB (144.0)CUSAH74-59W100%0.0
1-23Marshall (208.0)CUSAH102-46W100%0.0
1-26Tulsa (127.0)CUSAA59-62W100%0.0
2-2UAB (144.0)CUSAA75-79W100%0.0
2-6Central Florida (103.0)CUSAA60-58L0%0.0
2-9Memphis (12.0)CUSAH76-89L0%0.0
2-13Tulane (175.0)CUSAH71-60W100%0.0
2-16East Carolina (100.0)CUSAA82-86W100%0.0
2-20Texas El Paso (95.0)CUSAH45-39W100%0.0
2-23Memphis (12.0)CUSAA89-73L0%0.0
3-2East Carolina (100.0)CUSAH88-69W100%0.0
3-5Marshall (208.0)CUSAA88-84L0%0.0
3-9Central Florida (103.0)CUSAH70-62W100%0.0
3-14UAB (144.0)CUSAN81-66W100%0.0
3-15Texas El Paso (95.0)CUSAN85-67W100%0.0
3-16Memphis (12.0)CUSAN91-79L0%0.0